Prep football: Playoff chances, Part 3

Posted on 11 October 2011 by Kevin Keller of the Roswell Daily Record

kjkeller@roswell-record.com


Roswell quarterback James Singleton (11) turns the corner looking for a hole in the Moriarty defense as Roswell coach Robert Arreola looks on from the sideline. Singleton led the Coyotes to a win over Moriarty and has them in position for a second straight playoff berth this season. (Lawrence Foster Photo)

Week 8 in high school football means the start of district play for most of the area’s team, so let’s once again look at the playoff chances for all the teams in Chaves County.

Dexter

The Demons needed to win last week against Tucumcari and I think that is a huge blow to their already slim chances of securing an at-large playoff bid.

 

I think their only chance of getting into the playoffs now is if they can win the district. The chances of that are probably slimmer than their chances of getting an at-large bid because of Loving and Eunice.

Every week is a playoff week for the Demons now and that starts this week when they visit NMMI.

Chances — 5 percent

Gateway Christian

The Warriors are in the position you’d expect right now after an opening-week loss to Mountainair.

This week starts the playoff push for them. They face Tatum and Melrose in the final two weeks, which will decide their playoff fate.

With a win this week against Tatum, which they should do, I think the Warriors are all but assured of a spot in the postseason.

Chances — 85 percent

Goddard

I think last week’s win over Carlsbad secured a playoff spot for the Rockets. With a 12-team field in 4A, getting to six wins, no matter who you are, is enough to get in.

I’ve said for the last two weeks that their chances are 99 percent and I think that number probably moves up a little bit after the win over Carlsbad.

If they beat Hobbs this week, I think they will be guaranteed a playoff spot.

Chances — 99.9 percent

Hagerman

The Bobcats are in the same position as their Highway 2 rival Dexter. They must win the district to get into the playoffs.

The quest for that begins this week when they host No. 1 Fort Sumner at Bobcat Stadium.

The chances are slim, but there is still a chance.

Chances — 10 percent

Lake Arthur

The Panthers are off this week before the big showdown with Hondo Valley next week. That game with the Eagles will decide who gets the automatic bid into the playoffs.

I think the Panthers are better than Hondo Valley and they should win next week to get the automatic bid.

That game will likely decide who is the No. 2 seed in the 6-Man playoffs behind No. 1-ranked Clovis Christian.

Even with a loss to Hondo Valley, I think Lake Arthur will still receive a postseason bid.

Chances — 90 percent

NMMI

The Colts’ chances took a significant blow last week with the loss to Estancia. They needed to get that win and then get at least one win in district play to have a shot at an at-large bid.

I think their only chance now is winning the district and that is going to be a difficult task to accomplish against Loving and Eunice.

They probably need to win out to get in.

Chances — 5 percent

Roswell

I think the Coyotes secured a playoff spot with last week’s win over Moriarty.

That gives them five wins on the year, which was good enough last year and should be good enough this season. I would say that a win this week against Portales would push the number to close to 100 percent.

Chances — 90 percent

 

Posted in Colt Football


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